Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.072425 0.084380 0.097622 0.113368 0.131575 0.151957 0.176501
2024-10-06 0.055677 0.071882 0.091662 0.117544 0.150482 0.190969 0.244488
2024-10-13 0.045127 0.063235 0.087112 0.120812 0.167068 0.228244 0.315224
2024-10-20 0.035880 0.053873 0.079192 0.117272 0.172943 0.251195 0.369384
2024-10-27 0.029306 0.046740 0.072699 0.113957 0.177662 0.272039 0.422187
2024-11-03 0.025720 0.043275 0.070755 0.116611 0.190900 0.306148 0.498035
2024-11-10 0.023417 0.041358 0.070744 0.121983 0.208668 0.348827 0.591905
2024-11-17 0.021054 0.038906 0.069404 0.124804 0.222362 0.386258 0.681410
2024-11-24 0.018712 0.036086 0.066975 0.125282 0.231903 0.417564 0.763890
2024-12-01 0.016607 0.033353 0.064267 0.124785 0.239457 0.445996 0.844238
2024-12-08 0.014688 0.030668 0.061247 0.123224 0.244703 0.470633 0.920165
2024-12-15 0.013653 0.029557 0.061032 0.126920 0.260189 0.515529 1.038569
2024-12-22 0.012714 0.028542 0.060935 0.130968 0.277130 0.565584 1.173773
2024-12-29 0.011917 0.027713 0.061107 0.135592 0.295821 0.621184 1.326537
2025-01-05 0.011118 0.026753 0.060867 0.139296 0.313019 0.675630 1.483101
2025-01-12 0.009792 0.024391 0.057276 0.135216 0.313013 0.694530 1.567259
2025-01-19 0.008659 0.022306 0.054010 0.131405 0.313057 0.713396 1.653251
2025-01-26 0.008115 0.021571 0.053740 0.134452 0.328959 0.768356 1.824949
2025-02-02 0.007809 0.021383 0.054735 0.140621 0.352842 0.843600 2.050765
2025-02-09 0.007354 0.020743 0.054543 0.143860 0.370092 0.905494 2.252303
2025-02-16 0.006799 0.019752 0.053342 0.144409 0.380807 0.953218 2.425366
2025-02-23 0.006246 0.018678 0.051786 0.143839 0.388629 0.994823 2.588061
2025-03-02 0.005694 0.017524 0.049864 0.142046 0.393080 1.028626 2.735041